Start your Independent Premium subscription today. "Everywhere we have been for two to three years, our support has been galvanising," he said. Sometimes the most obvious explanation is the right one: the leave vote in Wales was a vote for political change rooted in material conditions and exposure to austerity. Aisling Moloney Wednesday 6 Dec 2017 10:46 am. But this is hardly a decisive shift in the public mood. Both of these areas are the furthest away from the English border, they have the most Welsh speakers in the country, and a strong tradition of Welsh nationalism. 58% said they would vote to leave, 31% would vote to remain and 11% were undecided. His fellow Plaid AM Rhun ap Iorwerth called the Leave vote a "hammer blow to Wales economically" warning "the poorest will pay the price". But it’s also important that we don’t talk about Wales as having a single hegemonic culture. Large crowds on the US city's party strips prompted an emergency overnight curfew. First Minister Carwyn Jones has said he fears jobs will be lost in Wales following the vote outcome and called for party and public unity in Wales. In a statement in Downing Street he said he would attempt to "steady the ship" between now and then. T urkeys, it seems, do vote for Christmas – at least if they’re Welsh. Richard Wyn Jones on the reasons contributing to a leave vote in a part of the UK that benefits most from EU membership. Simon Thomas, a Plaid Cymru AM whose party supported Remain, told BBC Wales he was extremely disappointed. Other regions in Wales, particularly places in the south and the east, have experienced a similar industrial decline and waning of the labour movement as the north east of England. Wales has a higher proportion of lower-middle and working class people (C2DEs) – This explains why the Valleys voted the way they did, in line with other post-industrial areas in England. "People have been telling us they are fed up of the EU, saying it wasn't democratic, saying 'we want our freedom back' and that is what they are going to get. "The Welsh voters have done what they haven't done since 1979 - they have rejected the establishment.". ", Speaking to BBC Radio's Good Morning Wales, he said: "What leave voters will find is that they will be pleased in the short-term but in the long-term, the consequences are very serious. Why would a nation that receives £70 a head from the EU more than it puts in vote this way? Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? Video, Scam baiting tech helps me waste scammers’ time, China sanctioned for 'appalling' Uighur abuses, Boston bomber's death sentence could be reinstated, Tributes paid to surfer killed by lightning, Killing Eve star speaks at Stop Asian Hate rally, Ikea France on trial for snooping on staff, British Army 'to be reduced by 10,000 troops', Aretha Franklin's family reject Genius biopic. "This is very dangerous and disturbing territory that we're entering into.". Up until Brexit it was set to receive at least another €600m between now and 2020, that's €1,209 per person. The Brexit result in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum is one of the most significant political events for Britain during the 21st century. The Labour Party can no longer expect Welsh voters to obediently follow its instructions, unless it offers them something in return – acknowledging their existence would be a start. US trial of AstraZeneca vaccine confirms safety, Why some Americans are choosy about vaccine, Smelly but stunning volcano wows Icelanders, The ex-fighters embracing peace. He said serious questions must be asked about whether the Welsh Government's planned M4 relief road and South Wales Metro project would now happen. These are the full results for the EU referendum in Wales. This transforms the way their populations see politics – as distinct from the rest of the country, and highly focused on local issues. First Minister Carwyn Jones is due to give a press conference at 09:15 BST. The chart below shows the nearly 400 voting areas that took part in Thursday's referendum. Mr Neb @Sglyfath music via Nasty Vulture Records. Share this article via facebook Share this article via twitter Share this article via messenger. He said the EU had become "the whipping boy", with "immigration becoming a toxic issue, even in areas where there has been no immigration". Some maps, as one would expect, used the geographic shape of the reporting districts to show the results, as in image 2 here, which uses colour shading in what I would characterise as the conventional Brexit colours used by most media outlets to show the … So, although there are highly localised political conversations in Welsh nationalist areas, Wales as a whole is not having a conversation about its identity and existential relationship with Britain in the same way that Scotland is. Wales as a whole is not having a conversation about its identity and existential relationship with Britain in the same way that Scotland is – this means that the Welsh public weren't engaging in the referendum on Welsh issues, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. In … Any benefit or loss to Wales post Brexit is a direct result of what I suspect is a rather ill informed electorate voicing their choice. Only five areas - Gwynedd, Cardiff, Ceredigion, the Vale of … When I took my annual summer trip home, I was determined to understand why so much of Wales voted Brexit. All but Gwynedd said they wanted to leave as the votes were declared this morning. Traditionally, these are Labour supporters and areas with high levels of Labour support in Wales voted Leave – a pattern replicated in parts of England too. Prior to Brexit, 67% Welsh voters wanted immigration significantly reduced. We have a great future ahead of us as we are a great trading nation.". Mark Williams, Welsh Liberal Democrat leader, said he was deeply disappointed, adding: "Now is not the time for more government infighting at the expense of the people of Wales. Read about our approach to external linking. Progressives in Wales should resist the kind of hostile nationalism that has defined certain pockets of the country, but should look at building a kind of distinct Welsh identity against the meanness fostered by the Leave campaign. Live coverage of the results and reaction continues on BBC One Wales, on BBC Radio Wales and Radio Cymru. Figure 1: Second EU referendum voting intention, July 2016 – November 2017, Wales Political commentator Daran Hill said: "Wales' decision to Leave comes down to a failure of Labour and the Labour-inclined Stronger In campaign to connect with, motivate and mobilise their voters. The vast bulk of Wales' council areas, many of them Labour-supporting, voted for Leave with a majority in 17 backing Brexit. UKIP Wales leader Nathan Gill told BBC Radio's Good Morning Wales: "It is wonderful, we [all UK MEPs] will be given our P45s now. As Leave campaigners celebrated their historic victory, leading figures from the Remain side lined up to warn of "very serious" and "dangerous" consequences from the decision. This reflects the diet of media in Wales, which is the same as England. VideoThe ex-fighters embracing peace, Why India is talking about ripped jeans and knees, 'I’ll buy five items and only keep one of them', The world's most nutritious foods, according to science, Scam baiting tech helps me waste scammers’ time. "It is the 74 MEPs not the British people who are going to lose their jobs.". The election was called on 29 October 2019, when its date was fixed as 12 December. Because of the assembly election campaign, you only saw Carwyn Jones and Leanne Wood together three days before the vote took place. 3 years ago. Professor Richard Wyn Jones’s special lecture at the National Eisteddfod will explain why Wales voted for Brexit despite benefiting from the EU by around £245m each year . Wales would not have voted by a majority for Brexit if not for retired English people moving across the border, according to research by Oxford University. VideoScam baiting tech helps me waste scammers’ time, China sanctioned for 'appalling' Uighur abuses1, Boston bomber's death sentence could be reinstated3, Smelly but stunning volcano wows Icelanders4, Miami Beach curfew over spring break 'chaos'5, Tributes paid to surfer killed by lightning6, Killing Eve star speaks at Stop Asian Hate rally7, Ikea France on trial for snooping on staff8, British Army 'to be reduced by 10,000 troops'9, Aretha Franklin's family reject Genius biopic10. On 23 June 2016 Wales, like England, voted to leave the European Union. The Welsh Assembly joined both the Scottish Parliament and Northern Ireland Assembly in rejecting the Withdrawal Agreement Bill this week. In the days after the Brexit vote last June, many maps appeared in the media that attempted to show how the people had voted. Only five areas - Gwynedd, Cardiff, Ceredigion, the Vale of Glamorgan and Monmouthshire - voted for Remain. It seems to me that there is an income and class distribution question far more than there is a political one. What we can learn from this is that progressive political parties cannot rely on the myth that Wales as a whole is more socially democratic than England. The vast bulk of Wales' council areas, many of them Labour-supporting, voted for Leave with a majority in 17 backing Brexit. That’s how you say “turkeys voting for Christmas” in (broken) Welsh – a sentence that might come in handy at the moment, as it transpires that Wales has voted 53 per cent to 47 per cent to leave the EU. David Cameron and George Osborne's big scare campaign did not work and there were issues over the timing of the referendum. Welsh Conservative leader and Leave supporter Andrew RT Davies said Welsh politics had changed forever but Labour's Lord Hain said there would be "tragic" consequences. Black voters were least likely to vote for Brexit – only 29% did so – while the only ethnic group in which a majority supported leaving the EU was white Brits. It’s home to Ceredigion, known as the most Europhile place in the UK, and my home council Gwynedd returned a Remain vote. Second, looking ahead to the Brexit … He said he was not surprised Wales voted to leave and said he had been predicting the outcome for a long time. ", Andrew RT Davies said: "It is clear that the fault lines of Welsh politics have now changed forever, and I am extremely proud to have been involved in this campaign.". These areas have fewer Welsh speakers and their politics are less defined by Welsh nationalism than areas in the west, making them vulnerable to right wing English politics. As Dr Daniel Evans of the Wales Institute of Social & Economic Research says, “The main factor for me is lack of a national media or public sphere in Wales. The debate provoked major consideration to an array of topics, argued up-to, and beyond, the referendum on 23 June 2016. ", Labour AM and ex-MEP Baroness Morgan said: "That crash in the market you hear is also the crashing of your pensions. How results are calculated UK votes to leave the EU The UK has voted to leave the EU by 52% to 48%. EU referendum live: Wales votes Leave reaction, Neil Hamilton, UKIP's assembly group leader, said: "I am absolutely delighted and I have to admit even a little surprised myself, as I hardly dared believe we could achieve this.". It’s highly unlikely Boris Johnson and his ilk will compensate for the losses it will sustain by leaving. Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. "We have woken up in a deep pit that we have dug ourselves with spades provided by a fear-driven campaign," he said. Cymru criticised for bad polling, but who tried to persuade them otherwise? With the potential for Scotland to call another independence referendum, he said: "We could have moved out of one union and lost another in the UK.". Only five council areas in Wales voted … ... Media Wales. Read about our approach to external linking. Leave has won the EU referendum campaign in Wales - and across the UK - with all Welsh council areas declared. At the time, many were quick to point out … Within the borough, 62% voted for Brexit compared to 52.5% across Wales. He told Good Morning Wales that Wales will receive more investment outside the European Union. How did Northern Ireland vote on Brexit? That was far too late to turn their popularity into persuading people to vote to Remain. The final and most important point (particularly for London-centric commentators who refuse to familiarise themselves with regional nuances) is that the political culture of Wales is significantly different to that of Scotland. The vote against the EU in Wales, however, is more complex than it seems. "We must now prepare for a negotiation with the European Union - this will need to involve the full engagement of the Scottish, Welsh and Northern Ireland governments to ensure that the interests of all parts of our United Kingdom are protected and advanced," Mr Cameron said. Groups in Britain who have been ‘left behind’ by rapid economic change and feel cut adrift from the mainstream consensus were the most likely to support Brexit. The most recent poll, published in late-November 2017, suggested a modest move against Brexit: Remain was five points ahead of Leave. Along with England, Wales has voted convincingly to leave the EU. Leave won Bridgend - which is First Minister Carwyn Jones' territory - and they won Rhondda Cynon Taff, which is Leanne Wood's home territory. David Cameron announced he would step down as prime minister by October. This is a county in which… 854,572 (52.5%) voters in Wales chose to leave the EU, compared with 772,347 (47.5%) supporting Remain. Within this poll, farmers in Scotland, the North West and Wales were less likely to want to leave and nowhere in these areas did … The first reason is not specific to Wales. A protest march the day after the EU referendum vote in Cardiff, Wales. ‘Leave’ votes piled up on the counting tables in Cardiff on referendum night, Scotland, London and teenagers speak out against Brexit, Supporters of the Stronger In campaign look at their phones after hearing results in the EU referendum at London's Royal Festival Hall, Leave supporters cheer results at a Leave.eu party after polling stations closed in the Referendum on the European Union in London, Mr Cameron announces his resignation to supporters, Donald Tusk proposes that the 27 remaining EU member states ‘start a wider reflection on the future of our union’, Ukip leader Nigel Farage greets his supporters on College Green in Westminster, after Britain voted to leave the European Union, Supporters of the Stronger In Campaign react as referendum results are announced today, Boris Johnson leaves his home today to discover a crowd of waiting journalists and police officers, Leave EU supporters celebrate as they watch the British EU Referendum results being televised at Millbank Tower in London, Supporters of the Stronger In Campaign react as results of the EU referendum are announced at the Royal Festival Hall, Supporters of the Stronger In campaign react after hearing results in the EU referendum at London's Royal Festival Hall, Wales as a whole is not having a conversation about its identity and existential relationship with Britain in the same way that Scotland is â€“ this means that the Welsh public weren't engaging in the referendum on Welsh issues, {{#verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}} {{^verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}}, Wales voted for Brexit because it has been ignored by Westminster, English people in recent years, many of whom are right wing and will have bolstered the UKIP vote, 5% off all flexible rate business bookings at Travelodge, Save £15 on bookings with Hotels.com discount code, Save up to 20% on early 2021 holidays with Booking.com discounts, Enjoy 25% savings with this Hertz discount code, Save up to £200 per couple on July and August holidays. We have seen a very surprising pattern. When I was growing up in Gwynedd, it was more common to see xenophobia directed towards the English-born population (the largest migrant group in Wales) than migrants from further afield. A Leave vote was sold to the British public on the basis that it would allow us to “take control back.” What exactly that means was never spelled out in detail, but there’s no doubt that such a sentiment would appeal to Welsh voters, given that Wales is the UK’s poorest region and has been totally abandoned by mainstream politics. Instead they focused primarily on British issues such as immigration. Brexit is the logical outcome of alienation from the political and economic system. Cornwall, with a population of 530,000 people, received more than €654m from Brussels during the EU’s 2007 to 2013 budget cycle. Work and Pensions Secretary and former Welsh Secretary Stephen Crabb said he was "not surprised" by the results in Wales and voters had not trusted the messages from the Remain campaign. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. © 2021 BBC. This was self-selected to represent the profile of farming in the UK. You reap what you sow. He added: "I stood by my convictions [backing a leave vote] and stood by my beliefs. Lord Hain said: "It is a tragic result for Wales which will have serious consequences for us. A leading political expert from Cardiff University is to present the first detailed analysis of what really happened in Wales during the dramatic EU referendum. Scotland of course has its own media, a left wing party in charge, and revived engagement in politics since the Independence referendum.”. Scam baiting tech helps me waste scammers’ time. He said voters said they were "sorry we don't believe what the Labour party and the government are saying about the benefits of the European Union". Voting to leave the EU was essentially an irrational decision in many cases. We have seen working class Labour voters go fairly solidly "Vote Leave", far more strongly than we were expecting. This is more than the West Midlands and the East of England combined. #EUknowsit : Diolch This means it has been unable to engage with the referendum distinctly as “Wales”, as opposed to an annex of England. ... the news and current affairs section of BBC Wales could only manage one Welsh leaders’ debate on Brexit … Wales must live by this choice. There can be no doubt that, financially speaking, Wales has been one of the parts of the UK that has benefited most from EU membership. And Welsh voters should be worried. Those that voted leave are the ones that benefit most from EU funding.". Vote Up 0 Vote Down . Understanding why there is a Leave vote in those areas is not rocket science – although it should be noted that many parts of Wales have experienced an influx of English people in recent years, many of whom are right wing and will have bolstered the UKIP vote. The unfortunate truth is Wales needed the EU to invest in it. Hardly any of the people we spoke to in our research knew anything about the EU dividend to Wales or the implications of Brexit for Wales. The Brexit result is a double-nightmare for Welsh activists who spent recent fighting for an In vote. This vote may seem curious in the light of the fact that Wales has been the recipient of generous EU funding over the past forty years. North Wales has voted a resounding Brexit at the EU referendum. Want an ad-free experience?Subscribe to Independent Premium. Having said that, anecdotally I understand many working class people in Gwynedd have been talking about “taking the country back.” There aren’t any figures on this yet, but it begs the question of whether Welsh nationalism risks being elided by a “Little England” narrative. Wales voted for Brexit because it has been ignored by Westminster for too long Wales as a whole is not having a conversation about its identity and existential relationship with Britain in … This means that the Welsh public weren't engaging in the referendum on Welsh issues. What the Brexit vote means for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. To live in Wales, for many, means living in an area without stable, decent work and where the rest of the UK barely even registers your existence (particularly if you don’t live within easy access of Cardiff), and where you can expect to be treated as voting fodder by an historically dominant Labour Party. This will impact on everyone.". “Twrcyn pleidleisio i Nadolig”. Looking back further, to before David Cameron’s renegotiation, Wales had the highest proportion of support for leaving the European Union. "I think its an absolute disaster from the point of view of building the Welsh economy over the next five to ten years," he said. So maybe it is not the individual politicians we should be looking at - it is actually a question of income and social class more than political affiliation or political leadership. Former deputy prime minister Nick Clegg reports for us from Ebbw Vale in South Wales to find out why people voted for Brexit. This was despite a pro-Leave vote in the valleys of the south-east of Wales, according to Danny Dorling, professor of geography at Oxford. Brexit has sometimes been portrayed as being largely about England and Englishness: Scotland and Northern Ireland voted clearly for Remain, … EU Referendum: Wales results and reaction, Miami Beach curfew over spring break 'chaos'. Ebbw Vale is its largest town. 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